← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Mar 16, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Reggina win | 30% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | ⚽ | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jérémy Ménez · Reggina |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Stavropoulos · Reggina |
| 88' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Loiacono · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 105.00 | 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1463.13 | 1419.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.09 | 38.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| league points | 36.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 27.99 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |