β Serie B 2020 Β· Tue, Mar 16, 06:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. La Penna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.05 |
| Pordenone win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli β1 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Pordenone β1 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | π¨ | Nicola Falasco Β· Pordenone |
| 6' | π¨ | Nicola Falasco Β· Pordenone |
| 6' | π₯ | Nicola Falasco Β· Pordenone |
| 27' | π¨ | Marco Olivieri Β· Empoli |
| 30' | π¨ | Leonardo Mancuso Β· Empoli |
| 32' | π¨ | Leo Ε tulac Β· Empoli |
| 71' | π¨ | Nedim Bajrami Β· Empoli |
| 86' | π¨ | Sebastian Musiolik Β· Pordenone |
| 88' | β½ (og) | Adam Chrzanowski Β· Empoli |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 1 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | β |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | β |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | β |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 227.00 | 1125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1608.26 | 1447.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.81 | -44.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.86 |
| league points | 57.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | -1.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 26.38 |
| state index | 0.73 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |