← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Mar 16, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Venezia FC win | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Venezia FC +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Stefano Pettinari · US Lecce |
| 40' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · US Lecce |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Fabio Lucioni · Venezia FC |
| 50' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 54' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 57' | ⚽ | Youssef Maleh · Venezia FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · Venezia FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 81' | 🟨 | Pablo Rodríguez · US Lecce |
| 89' | 🟨 | Antonino Gallo · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Maggio · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morten Hjulmand · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 227.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.35 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1505.14 | 1569.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.78 | 24.74 |
| eye test v1 | 1.34 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 50.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 28.40 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |