← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 46% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Virtus Entella win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0.5 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Cremonese +0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 32' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fiordaliso · Cremonese |
| 47' | ⚽ | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ilias Koutsoupias · Virtus Entella |
| 60' | ⚽ | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 79' | 🟨 | Filippo Nardi · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 135.00 | 74.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1366.29 | 1423.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.26 | -3.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 46.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| league points | 24.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 25.81 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |