← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Mar 15, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Pisa win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Spal +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · Spal |
| 41' | 🟨 | Robert Gucher · Pisa |
| 42' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Spal |
| 44' | ⚽ | Davide Marsura · Pisa |
| 56' | 🟨 | Alessandro Quaini · Pisa |
| 74' | 🟨 | Simone Benedetti · Pisa |
| 80' | ⚽ | Luca Mazzitelli · Pisa |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nicholas Siega · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 1018.00 | 14.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1465.07 | 1469.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.40 | -19.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 25.01 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |