← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| Cosenza win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Cosenza |
| 29' | 🟨 | Davide Petrucci · Cosenza |
| 48' | 🟨 | Davide Petrucci · Cosenza |
| 48' | 🟥 | Davide Petrucci · Cosenza |
| 52' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Luca Crecco · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 224.00 | 1563.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 3.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1481.16 | 1426.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.31 | -26.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 48.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.52 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 28.36 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.95 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |