← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Chievo win | 28% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| US Lecce −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Christian Maggio · US Lecce |
| 18' | 🟨 | Joel Obi · Chievo |
| 22' | ⚽ | Joel Obi · Chievo |
| 25' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 38' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 41' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · US Lecce |
| 42' | ⚽ | Stefano Pettinari · US Lecce |
| 43' | 🟨 | Stefano Pettinari · US Lecce |
| 52' | 🟨 | Christian Maggio · US Lecce |
| 53' | ⚽ | Vasile Mogoș · Chievo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · US Lecce |
| 74' | 🟨 | Manuel De Luca · Chievo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Massimo Bertagnoli · Chievo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Boban Nikolov · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 224.00 | 377.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1559.53 | 1500.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.18 | -39.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 28.20 |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |