← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Reggiana win | 17% | 5.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cremonese −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟥 | Lorenzo Libutti · Reggiana |
| 19' | 🟨 | Gabriel Lunetta · Reggiana |
| 24' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 49' | ⚽ | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ivan Varone · Reggiana |
| 72' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Colombo · Cremonese |
| 78' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Colombo · Cremonese |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andrea Costa · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 71.00 | 621.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1408.49 | 1425.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.53 | 8.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.70 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 29.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 28.23 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |