← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.06 |
| Brescia win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 52' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Grigoris Kastanos · Frosinone Calcio |
| 81' | 🟨 | Alessio Tribuzzi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 82' | 🟨 | Luigi Vitale · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jakub Łabojko · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 12.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1461.51 | 1451.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.02 | 27.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.92 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.12 | 26.67 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |