← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| Ascoli win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Venezia FC +0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 24' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Venezia FC |
| 28' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 37' | 🟨 | Andrea Danzi · Ascoli |
| 48' | ⚽ | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Soufiane Bidaoui · Ascoli |
| 59' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 59' | 🟥 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 87' | ⚽ | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 24 |
| 4 | On target | 11 |
| 7 | Corners | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.63 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 102.00 | 224.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1355.04 | 1507.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.91 | 11.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 23.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 27.28 |
| state index | -0.94 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |