← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Mar 7, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Reggiana win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce +0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Reggiana +0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 29' | ⚽ | Zan Majer · US Lecce |
| 32' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ivan Varone · Reggiana |
| 42' | 🟨 | Karim Laribi · Reggiana |
| 47' | 🟨 | Arlind Ajeti · Reggiana |
| 53' | 🟨 | Arlind Ajeti · Reggiana |
| 53' | 🟥 | Arlind Ajeti · Reggiana |
| 69' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · US Lecce |
| 79' | 🟨 | Salvatore Pezzella · Reggiana |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Mariusz Stępiński · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots | 20 |
| 0 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 615.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1442.15 | 1542.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.99 | 1.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 31.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 27.42 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |