← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Mar 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
| Cittadella win | 21% | 4.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Empoli |
| 23' | ⚽ | Nedim Bajrami · Empoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 63' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 80' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 26 |
| 3 | On target | 11 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 218.00 | 2076.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1589.49 | 1493.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.67 | -32.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 50.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.63 | 27.23 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |