← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 6, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 54% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.70 |
| Pordenone win | 18% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pordenone −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Manuel Scavone · Pordenone |
| 21' | 🟨 | Gianvito Misuraca · Pordenone |
| 26' | ⚽ | Davide Frattesi · AC Monza |
| 32' | 🟨 | Matteo Scozzarella · AC Monza |
| 50' | 🟨 | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 76' | 🟥 | Carlos Augusto · AC Monza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Mario Balotelli · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 887.00 | 1115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1499.30 | 1462.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.63 | -21.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.84 |
| league points | 48.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 4.04 | 3.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.74 | 25.74 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |