← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 48% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Brescia win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Jhon Chancellor · Brescia |
| 27' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Sebastiano Esposito · Venezia FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Andrea Papetti · Brescia |
| 84' | 🟥 | Dennis Johnsen · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.57 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 217.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.98 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1521.68 | 1437.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.85 | 17.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| league points | 49.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 4.79 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.77 | 26.07 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |