← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.06 |
| Ascoli win | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ascoli +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Oliver Kragl · Ascoli |
| 20' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 26' | 🟨 | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
| 46' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Ascoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Simone Pinna · Ascoli |
| 64' | 🟨 | Vlad Dragomir · Virtus Entella |
| 68' | 🟨 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 75' | 🟥 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 125.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1363.71 | 1353.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.98 | -29.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| league points | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.35 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |