← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Mar 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Meraviglia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.15 |
| Virtus Entella win | 15% | 7.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| US Lecce −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 70' | 🟨 | Filippo De Col · Virtus Entella |
| 73' | 🟨 | Güven Yalçın · US Lecce |
| 73' | 🟨 | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mariusz Stępiński · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Nizzetto · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 213.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1549.17 | 1357.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.17 | -29.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 42.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 26.33 |
| state index | 0.02 | -1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |