← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Mar 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Cosenza win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Angelo Corsi · Cosenza |
| 25' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 49' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Angelo Corsi · Cosenza |
| 63' | 🟥 | Angelo Corsi · Cosenza |
| 79' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 91.00 | 1552.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1423.56 | 1451.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.64 | 1.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| league points | 27.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 29.79 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |