← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Mar 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Pisa win | 30% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Mastinu · Pisa |
| 13' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Pisa |
| 34' | 🟨 | Nicola Mosti · Ascoli |
| 37' | 🟨 | Nicola Leali · Ascoli |
| 37' | ⚽ | Michele Marconi · Pisa |
| 59' | 🟨 | Simone Pinna · Ascoli |
| 64' | 🟨 | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 24 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 91.00 | 1005.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1366.28 | 1467.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.17 | 13.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| league points | 22.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |