β Serie B 2020 Β· Tue, Mar 2, 06:00 PM UTC Β· ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Pordenone win | 19% | 5.17 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo β0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Pordenone β0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | π¨ | Manuel Scavone Β· Pordenone |
| 22' | π¨ | Manuel De Luca Β· Chievo |
| 29' | β½ | Amato Ciciretti Β· Chievo |
| 32' | β½ | Luca Garritano Β· Chievo |
| 37' | π¨ | Filippo Berra Β· Pordenone |
| 68' | β½ | Joel Obi Β· Chievo |
| 76' | π¨ | Michele Rigione Β· Chievo |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 366.00 | 1111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1515.65 | 1475.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.34 | -37.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.75 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | β |
| league points | 40.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 63.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | -1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 25.52 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |