← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Mar 2, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 29% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| AC Monza +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Frosinone Calcio |
| 19' | ⚽ | Gabriel Paletta · AC Monza |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mirko Gori · Frosinone Calcio |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 43' | ⚽ | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 47' | ⚽ | Alessandro Salvi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 50' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Frosinone Calcio |
| 65' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · AC Monza |
| 72' | 🟨 | Luigi Vitale · Frosinone Calcio |
| 72' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · AC Monza |
| 75' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| Mirko Marić · AC Monza |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 1.00 | 883.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1450.47 | 1498.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.51 | 11.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 34.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.64 | 26.66 |
| state index | -0.78 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |