← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Cittadella win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Federico Ricci · AC Monza |
| 32' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 46' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 51' | 🟨 | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marco D'Alessandro · AC Monza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 880.00 | 2068.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1500.49 | 1507.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.16 | -23.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| league points | 46.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 28.27 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |