← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
| Ascoli win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone −0.25 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Patrick Ciurria · Pordenone |
| 21' | 🟨 | Adam Chrzanowski · Pordenone |
| 39' | 🟨 | Alberto Barison · Pordenone |
| 45' | 🟨 | Raffaele Pucino · Ascoli |
| 67' | ⚽ | Nicola Mosti · Ascoli |
| 78' | 🟨 | Matteo Rossetti · Pordenone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 1108.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1480.04 | 1361.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.28 | 5.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | — |
| league points | 33.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.72 | 27.31 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |