← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
| Pescara win | 24% | 4.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Pescara +0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Edoardo Masciangelo · Pescara |
| 38' | ⚽ | Christian Maggio · US Lecce |
| 81' | 🟨 | Marco Mancosu · US Lecce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Massimiliano Busellato · Pescara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 88.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1329.97 | 1553.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.18 | -3.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 18.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 5.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.26 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.77 | 27.59 |
| state index | -1.38 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |