← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 27, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Cremonese −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 27' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 31' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 42' | ⚽ | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marcus Rohdén · Frosinone Calcio |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jaime Báez · Cremonese |
| 57' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marco Carnesecchi · Cremonese |
| 69' | 🟨 | Camillo Ciano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 75' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 24 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| 79' | 🟨 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 79' | 🟥 | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 83' | 🟨 | Grigoris Kastanos · Frosinone Calcio |
| 89' | 🟥 | Marco Carnesecchi · Cremonese |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 57.00 | 637.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1427.31 | 1468.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.43 | -7.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.70 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 26.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 28.39 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |