← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Feb 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 53% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Cosenza win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 54% | 1.80 |
| US Lecce −0.75 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Cosenza |
| 11' | 🟨 | Matteo Legittimo · Cosenza |
| 12' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 15' | 🟨 | Morten Hjulmand · US Lecce |
| 59' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Marco Mancosu · US Lecce |
| 84' | 🟨 | Gianmarco Ingrosso · Cosenza |
| 84' | ⚽ | Biagio Meccariello · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 204.00 | 1543.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1544.84 | 1449.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.07 | 10.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.81 |
| league points | 38.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |