← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Amabile
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 61% | 1.59 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Reggiana win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cittadella −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Eloge Yao · Reggiana |
| 28' | ⚽ | Karim Laribi · Reggiana |
| 47' | 🟨 | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 49' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 50' | ⚽ | Simone Mazzocchi · Reggiana |
| 60' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Cittadella |
| 68' | 🟨 | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 2061.00 | 600.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1532.79 | 1424.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.99 | 10.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| league points | 42.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 69.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 28.07 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |