← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Salernitana win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
| 24' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
| 29' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 32' | 🟨 | Mamadou Coulibaly · Salernitana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Norbert Gyömbér · Salernitana |
| 77' | 🟨 | Frédéric Veseli · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 81.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1375.60 | 1457.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.27 | -5.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| league points | 21.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 57.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 34.20 |
| rest days | 5.88 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -2.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.88 | 27.44 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -2.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |