← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Spal win | 33% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Spal +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · Spal |
| 24' | 🟨 | Fabiano Parisi · Empoli |
| 27' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alberto Paloschi · Spal |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 196.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1488.06 | 1582.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.66 | 12.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| league points | 38.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 25.15 |
| state index | -0.32 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |