← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Guida
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| US Lecce win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| US Lecce −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 29' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 29' | ⚽ (og) | Michele Castagnetti · US Lecce |
| 52' | 🟨 | Morten Hjulmand · US Lecce |
| 54' | ⚽ | Pablo Rodríguez · US Lecce |
| 60' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 81' | 🟨 | Boban Nikolov · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟥 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 43.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1423.51 | 1536.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.97 | -15.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.87 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.40 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 23.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.64 | 29.24 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |