← Serie B 2020 · Fri, Feb 12, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Pisa win | 15% | 6.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −1 | 55% | 1.77 |
| AC Monza −1 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Antonino Barillà · AC Monza |
| 7' | ⚽ | Simone Palombi · Pisa |
| 12' | ⚽ | Simone Palombi · Pisa |
| 26' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Pisa |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alessandro Quaini · Pisa |
| 53' | 🟨 | Samuele Birindelli · Pisa |
| 82' | 🟨 | Davide Frattesi · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 865.00 | 987.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1507.15 | 1452.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.96 | -15.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 43.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 26.86 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |