← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Feb 9, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Ascoli win | 32% | 3.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ascoli +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 31' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 40' | 🟨 | Marco Capuano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 53' | 🟨 | Marco Capuano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 53' | 🟥 | Marco Capuano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 60' | ⚽ | Andrija Novakovich · Frosinone Calcio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Przemysław Szymiński · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟥 | Simone Simeri · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 70.00 | 619.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1382.30 | 1465.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.75 | -24.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 20.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.74 | 26.57 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |