← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Feb 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Cosenza win | 20% | 4.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 10' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 10' | 🟨 | Luca Tremolada · Cosenza |
| 31' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 44' | 🟨 | Davide Petrucci · Cosenza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 67' | 🟨 | Matteo Legittimo · Cosenza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marco Rosafio · Cittadella |
| 79' | 🟨 | Agostino Camigliano · Cittadella |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Angelo Corsi · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 2050.00 | 1531.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1525.32 | 1449.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.40 | 0.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.84 |
| league points | 38.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 29.26 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |