← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Feb 9, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Pordenone win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Spal −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Spal |
| 32' | ⚽ | Karlo Butić · Pordenone |
| 41' | ⚽ | Alberto Paloschi · Spal |
| 44' | 🟨 | Nenad Tomović · Spal |
| 56' | ⚽ | Patrick Ciurria · Pordenone |
| 65' | 🟨 | Karlo Butić · Pordenone |
| 78' | 🟨 | Kevin Biondi · Pordenone |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 90' | ⚽ | Roberto Zammarini · Pordenone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 192.00 | 1090.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1506.56 | 1484.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.92 | -17.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | — |
| league points | 38.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.33 | 25.56 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |