← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Feb 7, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Virtus Entella win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
| 40' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Poli · Virtus Entella |
| 48' | ⚽ | Marco Brescianini · Virtus Entella |
| 53' | ⚽ | Karim Laribi · Reggiana |
| 56' | ⚽ | Simone Muratore · Reggiana |
| 61' | 🟨 | Matteo Ardemagni · Reggiana |
| 77' | 🟨 | Filippo Costa · Virtus Entella |
| 87' | 🟨 | Niko Kirwan · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 587.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1414.62 | 1387.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.21 | 20.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 8.21 | 8.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.96 | 25.75 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |