← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Feb 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Pisa win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cremonese −0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Emanuele Valeri · Cremonese |
| 11' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 12' | 🟨 | Marco Varnier · Pisa |
| 13' | 🟨 | Gianluca Gaetano · Cremonese |
| 19' | ⚽ | Luca Vido · Pisa |
| 54' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Pisa |
| 83' | 🟨 | Luca Coccolo · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 36.00 | 981.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1424.45 | 1463.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.62 | 5.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.20 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.65 |
| league points | 20.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 28.14 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |