← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Spal win | 30% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| AC Monza +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 30' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 34' | 🟨 | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
| 41' | 🟨 | Antonino Barillà · AC Monza |
| 47' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · AC Monza |
| 55' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Spal |
| 77' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Spal |
| 85' | 🟨 | Federico Ricci · AC Monza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Simone Missiroli · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 25 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 183.00 | 853.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1508.85 | 1483.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.75 | 46.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.74 |
| league points | 36.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 5.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 27.12 |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |