β Serie B 2020 Β· Sat, Jan 30, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Reggiana win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana β0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Pisa β0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | π¨ | Arlind Ajeti Β· Reggiana |
| 41' | π¨ | Karim Laribi Β· Reggiana |
| 44' | π¨ | Lorenzo Libutti Β· Reggiana |
| 45' | β½ | Michele Marconi Β· Pisa |
| 62' | π¨ | Marius Marin Β· Pisa |
| 84' | π¨ | Francesco Lisi Β· Pisa |
| 86' | π¨ | Danilo Soddimo Β· Pisa |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 974.00 | 579.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | β |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1457.18 | 1421.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.45 | -18.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.87 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 26.25 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.24 | 0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |