← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Jan 30, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Cosenza win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Brayan Vera · Cosenza |
| 27' | ⚽ | Filippo Costa · Virtus Entella |
| 30' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marco Chiosa · Virtus Entella |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Cosenza |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Tremolada · Cosenza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Wladimiro Falcone · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 90.00 | 1521.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1397.75 | 1439.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.73 | -12.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.84 |
| league points | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.16 | 27.91 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |