← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Jan 30, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 37% | 2.73 |
| Ascoli win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Ascoli +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 17' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 18' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Brescia |
| 20' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 44' | 🟨 | Fran Karačić · Brescia |
| 63' | ⚽ | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jesse Joronen · Brescia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Danilo Quaranta · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 26 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 60.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1355.75 | 1428.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.72 | -55.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 14.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 0.70 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.33 | 25.55 |
| state index | -0.18 | -1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |