← Serie B 2020 · Wed, Jan 27, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
| Cittadella win | 29% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Chievo −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 31' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Chievo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 58' | 🟨 | Manuel De Luca · Chievo |
| 74' | ⚽ | Massimo Bertagnoli · Chievo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 80' | ⚽ | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Agostino Camigliano · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 332.00 | 2037.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1532.76 | 1539.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.81 | -8.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| league points | 30.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 26.88 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |