← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Jan 25, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
| Brescia win | 21% | 4.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| AC Monza +0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Tom Van De Looi · Brescia |
| 47' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Bellusci · AC Monza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Brescia |
| 55' | ⚽ | Davide Frattesi · AC Monza |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jhon Chancellor · Brescia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Antonino Barillà · AC Monza |
| 70' | 🟨 | Nikolas Špalek · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 55.00 | 847.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1439.03 | 1473.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -60.61 | 44.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| league points | 21.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 9.29 | 9.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 1.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 27.31 |
| state index | -1.16 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |