← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Jan 24, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Spal win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Spal +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 60' | 🟨 | Paolo Bartolomei · Cremonese |
| 63' | ⚽ | Alberto Paloschi · Spal |
| 76' | 🟨 | Nenad Tomović · Spal |
| 85' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emanuele Terranova · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 23.00 | 176.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 4.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1419.00 | 1509.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.83 | -2.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.10 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 18.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 7.25 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.59 | 28.34 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |