← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Jan 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Pasqua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Empoli win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Empoli +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Boban Nikolov · US Lecce |
| 33' | ⚽ | Nicolas Haas · Empoli |
| 41' | 🟨 | Fabiano Parisi · Empoli |
| 46' | 🟨 | Panagiotis Tachtsidis · US Lecce |
| 47' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Empoli |
| 66' | 🟨 | Nicolas Haas · Empoli |
| 79' | ⚽ | Marco Mancosu · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Mancosu · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ryder Matos · Empoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pablo Rodríguez · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 176.00 | 176.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1557.91 | 1581.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.46 | 28.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 1.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.80 |
| league points | 32.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 6.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 20.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.80 |
| squad age | 28.13 | 25.01 |
| state index | 0.37 | 1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |