← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Jan 23, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Ascoli win | 17% | 5.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo +0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Ascoli +0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.86 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Ascoli |
| 30' | 🟨 | Guillaume Gigliotti · Chievo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Joel Obi · Chievo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Gianmarco Cangiano · Ascoli |
| 59' | 🟨 | Michael Fabbro · Chievo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 53.00 | 328.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1352.33 | 1536.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.78 | 11.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.81 |
| league points | 13.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.52 | 26.96 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |