← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Jan 18, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
| Reggiana win | 17% | 5.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Reggiana −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 44' | 🟨 | Gabriel Lunetta · Reggiana |
| 49' | 🟨 | Riccardo Martinelli · Reggiana |
| 57' | 🟨 | Sergio Floccari · Spal |
| 80' | ⚽ | Marco D'Alessandro · Spal |
| 82' | 🟨 | Augustus Kargbo · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 170.00 | 567.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 1.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1500.72 | 1413.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.41 | -51.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| league points | 32.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 14.13 | 9.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.09 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.42 | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.01 | -1.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |