← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Jan 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Reggina win | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Reggina +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Mariusz Stępiński · US Lecce |
| 45' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 54' | 🟨 | Liam Henderson · US Lecce |
| 58' | 🟨 | Panagiotis Tachtsidis · US Lecce |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marcin Listkowski · US Lecce |
| 67' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 67' | 🟥 | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mario Šitum · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriel Vasconcelos · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 46.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1350.00 | 1551.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.01 | -2.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 11.96 | 12.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.15 | 28.19 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |