← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Jan 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 67% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 |
| Cosenza win | 11% | 9.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −1.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| AC Monza −1.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Antonino Barillà · AC Monza |
| 14' | 🟨 | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 26' | ⚽ | Christian Gytkjær · AC Monza |
| 40' | ⚽ (og) | Gabriel Paletta · Cosenza |
| 44' | 🟨 | Davide Petrucci · Cosenza |
| 67' | ⚽ | Luca Tremolada · Cosenza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Giulio Donati · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 838.00 | 1507.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 1.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1475.98 | 1436.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.60 | -25.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.86 |
| league points | 31.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 11.92 | 11.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.61 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 25.53 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.95 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |