← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Jan 9, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 55% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
| Reggiana win | 19% | 5.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Reggiana +0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 18' | 🟨 | Riccardo Martinelli · Reggiana |
| 18' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Cittadella |
| 35' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 58' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 60' | 🟨 | Luca Zamparo · Reggiana |
| 65' | ⚽ | Roberto Ogunseye · Cittadella |
| 66' | 🟨 | Luca Zamparo · Reggiana |
| 66' | 🟥 | Luca Zamparo · Reggiana |
| 81' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 26 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 558.00 | 2019.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1426.83 | 1533.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.51 | 11.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.71 |
| league points | 15.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.63 | 27.97 |
| state index | -1.26 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.10 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |