β Serie B 2020 Β· Mon, Jan 4, 05:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Virtus Entella win | 26% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Virtus Entella +0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | π¨ | Andrea Paolucci Β· Virtus Entella |
| 35' | π¨ | Markus PaviΔ Β· Virtus Entella |
| 40' | β½ | Matteo Mancosu Β· Virtus Entella |
| 72' | π¨ | Romano Perticone Β· Cittadella |
| 73' | π¨ | Matteo Brunori Β· Virtus Entella |
| 90' | π¨ | Filippo Costa Β· Virtus Entella |
| 90' | π¨ | Roberto Ogunseye Β· Cittadella |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | β | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | β | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | β | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | β | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 64.00 | 2014.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1378.89 | 1546.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.52 | 35.34 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | β |
| league points | 14.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.21 | 28.01 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |