← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Jan 4, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
| Cremonese win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Chievo +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Andrea Zaccagno · Cremonese |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Emanuele Giaccherini · Chievo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 34' | 🟨 | Luca Palmiero · Chievo |
| 72' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 81' | ⚽ | Massimo Bertagnoli · Chievo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Massimo Bertagnoli · Chievo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 3.00 | 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1415.56 | 1521.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.07 | 4.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.80 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.84 |
| league points | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 5.13 | 4.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.04 | 27.17 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |